Wednesday, July 30, 2008

TradeWinds Update

I have been a bit lax on posting, but as always I keep the charts and top 20 lists up to date should you want to follow them yourselves.

After two rollercoaster days, I would say we are in a net positive position, although we still have work to do to get to calm trading waters. Our slow momentum indicator held to the flat to slightly positive tilt during the market gyrations and the number of sectors in negative tradewaters has dropped from 30 to 25 over the past week.

I think what we are seeing is some big sector rotation going on as energy is being unwound as the leader and healthcare (XLV), biotech (BBH), techs (QQQQ, XLK) and even financials (XLF) are getting more attention. This is especially true in the small cap segment of the market (IWM, IYR). My thought is once this rotation is completed we will start seeing some steady upward movement in our momentum charts. Of course this can be disrupted at any moment by a big shock from geopolitical events, oil event, or some banking industry event, so don't get greedy as this scenario unfolds.

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